The COVID-19 crisis : what explains cross-country differences in the pandemic’s short-term economic impact?
2021
Files
Details
SymbolST/ESA/2021/DWP/174
TitleThe COVID-19 crisis : what explains cross-country differences in the pandemic’s short-term economic impact?
AccessEnglish: wp174_2021 - PDF ;
Summary
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused the most universal health and socio-economic crisis in recent history. However, the magnitude of the economic damage has differed widely; some countries were hit particularly hard, while others have managed to weather the storm much better. In this paper, we use cross-country regression analysis to identify factors that help explain the differences in the growth impact of the COVID-19 shock. Our findings underscore the critical role of balancing health and economic concerns in managing the pandemic as both a country’s exposure to the coronavirus and the stringency of containment measures are strongly correlated with its growth performance. In addition, our results shed light on several aspects of economic resilience. Good governance, provision of fiscal support and strong macroeconomic fundamentals all helped cushion the economic impact. By contrast, a lack of economic diversification - reflected in overreliance on the tourism sector or oil production - has significantly amplified the shock
1. Introduction -- 2. COVID-19: determinants of economic performance -- 3. Descriptive evidence: regional trends -- 4. Methodology and regression results -- 5. Policy implications and conclusion.
1. Introduction -- 2. COVID-19: determinants of economic performance -- 3. Descriptive evidence: regional trends -- 4. Methodology and regression results -- 5. Policy implications and conclusion.
Series
Date[New York] : UN, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Aug. 2021
Description
25 p. : graphs, tables
Notes
Includes bibliographical references (p. 18-19).