TitleWealth distribution and poverty impact of COVID-19 in Lebanon
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Lebanon is de facto experiencing the impact of three reinforcing growth shocks: a long-term recession post-Syrian crisis as a result of gradual decline in tourism receipts and private investment from the GCC; domestic political instability since 2019; and the COVID-19 induced a growth GDP shock. These overlapping shocks have led to an increase in the headcount poverty rate from 28 per cent in 2019 to an estimated 55.3 per cent in May 2020. Likewise, extreme poverty is expected to increase from 8.2 percent to 23.2 per cent. Assuming a population size of 4.8 million, this would bring the total number of poor among Lebanese population to 2.7 million, an increase of 1.4 million poor from the pre COVID-19 growth scenario in 2020. The equivalent rise in the number of extreme poor is 750,000 persons.